NEW: The Kremlin is attempting to center the ongoing trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi around significant changes to the European security architecture — an effort to revive its 2021 ultimatums to the United States and NATO about rolling back NATO’s presence in Europe Read more: isw.pub
2/ The Kremlin has repeatedly tried to justify its war against Ukraine by falsely claiming that the possibility of NATO expansion to include Ukraine threatened Russian security. 3/ US, Ukrainian, and European officials publicly agreed on the need for credible post-war security guarantees for Ukraine and the involvement of European officials in future multilateral negotiations to end the war in Ukraine — conditions that the Kremlin has repeatedly and explicitly rejected. 4/ Reported proposals to redraw the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts to allow Russia to claim that it seized all of the Donbas region and compel Russia to accept a deal to end the war neglect Moscow’s wider territorial aims in Ukraine that go far beyond these two oblasts. 5/ Putin and the Russian military command have created a false reality based on exaggerated claims of sweeping advances across the frontline such that the Kremlin would likely try to exploit any discussion of redrawing administrative borders based on the frontline to serve Russia’s interest. 6/ Neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces advanced on November 10. 7/ Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian aviation capabilities on the night of November 9 to 10. Russian forces launched 162 drones (including 96 jet-powered) and one Iskander-M ballistic missile against Ukraine overnight on November 9 to 10.